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O NOVO CAMPO DE BATALHA GLOBAL

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  Novo campo de batalha global | imagem by IA O Novo Campo de Batalha Global: Como a Guerra Marítima e o Sistema de Seguros Estão Desenhando a Nova Ordem Logística A globalização que conhecemos — baseada na livre circulação de mercadorias, rotas previsíveis e custos de frete estáveis — está sendo sistematicamente redesenhada. Dos mísseis no Mar Negro aos ataques no Mar Vermelho, os conflitos modernos abandonaram as trincheiras tradicionais para mirar o coração da economia mundial: as rotas marítimas e a infraestrutura logística. O que une crises geopolíticas aparentemente distantes, como o confronto entre Rússia e Ucrânia e as tensões envolvendo o eixo Irã-Oriente Médio, é um padrão claro de guerra híbrida. Nela, o campo de batalha não é apenas o terreno físico, mas cada porto, terminal de grãos, refinaria e petroleiro que sustenta o comércio internacional. A Engenharia da Interrupção: Quando a Logística vira Alvo Incidentes recentes — como o ataque ao petroleiro Skiros no Mar Neg...

BRAZIL AND THE JOTHAM´S PARABLE






"The trees of the forest were looking for a king to rule over them, they questioned the fig tree, the olive tree and the vine, saying," You rule over us. " All declined, then questioned the hawthorn, you reign over us? Who accepted at once and exclaimed: Come and trust me under my shadow ... " *


Nowadays, Brazil is experiencing a turbulent period in the history of a recent democracy that is undergoing hard trials. These latest events involving on all sides, has now reached the heart of government and reaches its highest staff member: the Republic´s President. Every day the press notices a head rolling on the guillotine of the award-winning collaboration. (delação premiada)

The times resemble the guillotine of the era of terror in France of Robespierre, that had executed no less than King Luis XVI and Danton among other heads that rolled in the hands of the revolutionary Jacobins. Finally, they cut off his own head. The moment is troubling for Brazil, which is starting to emerge from a tremendous economic downturn, with the economic team working hard to tame the inflation and reducing the interest rate.

There are so many vague interests revolving at the Presidents chair and  the Republic that no one knows where and with whom the truth is. “The truth is on the hights”, Voltaire said. However, we are looking for it down here, and until we find it we are content with alternative facts or verisimilitude. The President is accused of being crooked and right, but there are contradictions in a recording that deserves care, as experts agree that it has been edited in some sections, as reported in local newspapers.

The presumption of innocence prevails in the democratic state of law and in the Brazilian legal system, and favors those who are being accused. Now, who is interested in the removal of a President who has assumed in unusual circunstancies from an impeachment? Even if the presidente is convicted by TSE(Tribunal Superior Eleitoral), must be embraced the default rule, i.e, the new President shall be elected by the congress, as per stated in the brazilian Federal Constitution.

President Temer, who, by the way, has the lowest rate of popular acceptance in Brazil history, nevertheless, is not failing to carry out the necessary reforms that the country needs to get back on its course and move towards economic growth, generating Employment and income. Why, at this moment, do such recordings appear? Causing real economic chaos and volatility to markets, increasing immense political uncertainty.

Could the country hold another round of "impeachment" with its weakened economy today, how would the  investors  look to Brazil with another collapse of a deposed president. Certainly, no penny would enter the country on the part of foreign investments. Of course the investigations must be continue and the jet lag (lava jato) is providing important and great services to the country, changing the way of develop business between the private sector and the utility companies. However the Institutions, the pillars of Republic, must be preserved.

However, despite of these spate, the moment demands a lot of caution and vetting from the authorities, politicians, civil society, press, all the persons producing contents and “think tanks” in social media. Otherwise, we are laying the groundwork for a claim "reign among us." Now a question remains, does hawthorn produce or offer any shade? Consider this.

Paulo Silvano
Lawyer
paulosilvano.juridico@gmail.com

* Jotham, son of Gideon, one of the Judges that set free the Israel people. Judges 9.7-15

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